No-Confidence Vote Topples French Government: What Comes Next?

France has plunged into political chaos after parliamentarians ousted Prime Minister Michel Barnier in an historic no-confidence vote, the first of its kind in more than six decades. Sparked by widespread opposition to Barnier's austerity budget, which included €40 billion in spending cuts and €20 billion in tax hikes, the motion united far-left and far-right parties in an unprecedented alliance. The crisis deepens instability in France, leaving President Macron scrambling to appoint a new Prime Minister capable of navigating a fragmented Parliament with no clear majority. It also raises concerns about France's economic governance and its ability to lead within the EU. 

William Drozdiak, a Global Fellow with the Wilson Center's Global Europe Program, provides insights into the situation. He describes President Macron's sense of urgency around the need to name a new PM quickly, his meeting with centrist politician François Bayrou, a potential successor to Barnier, and the instability in EU leadership, including the collapse of Germany’s three-party coalition government.

 

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Global Europe Program

The Global Europe Program is focused on Europe’s capabilities, and how it engages on critical global issues. We investigate European approaches to critical global issues. We examine Europe’s relations with Russia and Eurasia, China and the Indo-Pacific, the Middle East and Africa. Our initiatives include “Ukraine in Europe”—an examination of what it will take to make Ukraine’s European future a reality. But we also examine the role of NATO, the European Union and the OSCE, Europe’s energy security, transatlantic trade disputes, and challenges to democracy. The Global Europe Program’s staff, scholars-in-residence, and Global Fellows participate in seminars, policy study groups, and international conferences to provide analytical recommendations to policy makers and the media.   Read more

Global Europe Program